Five minds. One portfolio. Zero noise.
Five minds
A portfolio
Zero noise
Ask in plain language. Elisa puts it in circulation across the team and Cerebro answers with sources, limits and cost. And it gives a verdict, not an «it depends».
History of this desk
Elisa is an artificial intelligence, not a person. Her answers are generated by an AI model.
This is general analysis and not a personalised investment recommendation. The person who invests is the one who decides. The chat may search the internet when the vault does not know the answer (a figure from today, a recent news item); those internet sources nobody has reviewed them and they may be incomplete or wrong, so check them before acting. The five profiles that sign the answers (Elisa, Jorne, Carlos Bárez, Daniel Ferrer, Inés Torres) are specialisms of one single automatic system: they are not people nor registered advisers.
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When you ask in the chat, the text of the question and the history of that conversation are sent. If you have saved reading preferences, the vocabulary level and the depth are sent too. Your saved positions they are not attached to the chat; the portfolio and the scenarios use them in their own sections. That is why answers are general and not personalised: Cerebro is not financial advice. Avoid writing personal or financial data that is not needed. The securities search sends the search text and price queries send the symbols. See the privacy policy to find out which providers there are and what else is used.With your session signed in, positions are are stored in your account: they sync across devices and are deleted with the account. Type the name or the ticker and pick from the list so we know exactly which security it is and which exchange it trades on.
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Model portfolios · Example
60/40
Three fifths of the capital in developed-market equities and two fifths in eurozone government bonds. It is the stock-and-bond portfolio par excellence.
The idea
Spread the capital across two large blocks that do not usually move together: equities provide growth, and high-quality bonds tend to cushion the declines. Annual rebalancing returns the portfolio to its starting allocation.
Where it comes from
It is the best-known application of diversification between stocks and bonds, whose theoretical foundation is attributed to Harry Markowitz's portfolio theory, published in the Journal of Finance in 1952. It has no specific author.
Environments in which it struggles
- When stocks and bonds fall at the same time: this happened in 2022, when rising interest rates sent both halves down in the same year.
- With high and persistent inflation: fixed-rate bonds lose purchasing power.
- In a long run of stock market gains: it falls behind portfolios with more equities.
- Equities from developed countries60 %
- Eurozone public debt (all maturities)40 %
| Peso | Componente | Índice | Instrumento de referencia | ISIN | TER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 % | Equities from developed countries | MSCI World | iShares Core MSCI World UCITS ETF (Acc) | IE00B4L5Y983 | 0,20 % |
| 40 % | Eurozone public debt (all maturities) | Bloomberg Euro Treasury Bond | iShares Core € Govt Bond UCITS ETF (Dist) | IE00B4WXJJ64 | 0,07 % |
Los instrumentos son de referencia para cada índice, no una selección de producto: dicen qué fondo sigue cada índice, y la tabla no es una lista de compras.
Cómo se ha calculado y de dónde salen los datos
Rentabilidades pasadas no garantizan rentabilidades futuras.
Simulación con índices reconstruidos a partir de datos públicos (BCE, Banco Mundial, Kenneth R. French); no es la rentabilidad de ningún fondo ni ETF. Sin comisiones, impuestos ni costes de cambio.
Rebalanceo anual al cierre de diciembre, rentabilidad total y divisa euro. Cada mes, cada tramo crece con el índice del suyo; al cierre de cada diciembre la cartera vuelve a los pesos de la ficha. La ventana va de sep-2004 – ago-2026, 22 años de rentabilidad, y todo está en euros, convertidos con el tipo de cambio de fin de mes del BCE. Los índices de renta variable y de deuda son de rentabilidad total; el del oro es el precio del metal y el de materias primas es un índice spot, así que no incluyen ni el roll ni la rentabilidad del colateral de los futuros.
Las fuentes
- Kenneth R. French Data Library, Developed 3 Factors (mensual): Equities from developed countries. Kenneth R. French Data Library, © Eugene F. Fama y Kenneth R. French; se cita la fuente y no se modifica la estadística.
- Kenneth R. French Data Library, Emerging 5 Factors (mensual): Emerging-market equities. Kenneth R. French Data Library, © Eugene F. Fama y Kenneth R. French; se cita la fuente y no se modifica la estadística.
- Kenneth R. French Data Library, 6 Portfolios 2x3 (mensual): US small-cap «value». Kenneth R. French Data Library, © Eugene F. Fama y Kenneth R. French; se cita la fuente y no se modifica la estadística.
- Banco Central Europeo, ESTR (diario) y EONIA (mensual): Eurozone public debt at under one year. Banco Central Europeo, Data Portal. Reutilización gratuita, también comercial, citando la fuente y sin modificar la serie.
- Banco Central Europeo, curva de rendimientos a la par (YC, G_N_C): Eurozone public debt at 1-3 years · Eurozone public debt (all maturities) · Eurozone public debt at 7-10 years · Eurozone public debt at 15-30 years. Banco Central Europeo, Data Portal. Reutilización gratuita, también comercial, citando la fuente y sin modificar la serie.
- Banco Mundial, Pink Sheet, hoja «Monthly Prices», columna Gold: Physical gold. Banco Mundial, Pink Sheet (Commodity Markets Outlook). © Banco Mundial, CC BY 4.0.
- Banco Mundial, Pink Sheet, hoja «Monthly Indices», columna Total Index: Diversified commodities. Banco Mundial, Pink Sheet (Commodity Markets Outlook). © Banco Mundial, CC BY 4.0.
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